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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+4.66vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+4.84vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.65+4.97vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+6.13vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.520.00vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.81+1.56vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.50+1.52vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.11-1.70vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.68-0.91vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.03-3.40vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.68-2.97vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.07-2.06vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.57-1.27vs Predicted
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14University of Miami3.25-7.96vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.03+0.17vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.72-2.10vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-0.15-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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7.97SUNY Maritime College2.650.1%1st Place
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10.13Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.52Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.3Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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8.09University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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6.6Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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9.94Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.73George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.04University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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15.17Princeton University-0.030.0%1st Place
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13.9Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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15.53U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Aswad | 12.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dan Crouch Crouch | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Christian Geary | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Willem Sandberg | 15.2% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Rohman | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Bo McClatchy | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Timmins | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Hussain Patel | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 3.4% |
| William Howard | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Smith | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 13.2% | 28.7% | 38.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 24.8% | 23.4% | 12.7% |
| Phillip Weigand | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 11.6% | 26.7% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.