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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.65+5.08vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.51+4.46vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+5.08vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.62vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.28+2.48vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38+1.07vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.85+1.78vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.71-2.09vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.45-2.27vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.69-0.39vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-3.84vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.13-3.85vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.74-3.43vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.36-6.96vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.21-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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6.46Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.08Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.48Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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5.91Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.73Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.61Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.15Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.57Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.04Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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13.24Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Micky Munns | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Davies | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 4.6% |
| Alex Fasolo | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| William George | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 7.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 2.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 7.8% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.