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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.71+4.79vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.65+3.95vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+5.06vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.36+3.05vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+1.91vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.66vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.28+0.35vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.13-0.07vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.85-0.14vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.38-2.87vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.69-1.52vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-4.63vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.51-6.14vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.21-0.64vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.74-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.95Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.06Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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7.05Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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7.35Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.93Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.86Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.48Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.86Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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13.36Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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9.23Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Fasolo | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 9.9% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Micky Munns | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 4.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| William George | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 8.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 61.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.