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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.65+5.09vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.13+5.74vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.36+4.04vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.62vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.85+3.93vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.51+0.61vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.71-1.12vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.07+0.17vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.74+0.26vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.45-3.13vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.38-3.91vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.28-4.38vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.69-3.25vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-6.97vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.21-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.74Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.04Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.93Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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6.61Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.88Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.17Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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9.26Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.09Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.62Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.75Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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13.28Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 5.2% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Micky Munns | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 5.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Davies | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| William George | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 9.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.