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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+7.15vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.96vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.50+5.97vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.71vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.93vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.50+3.11vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.16+3.41vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-0.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.92vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.18+0.11vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.65-2.44vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.35-2.40vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-1.98vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.11-3.27vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.62-6.56vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.39-6.50vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.07-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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5.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.97George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.71SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.11Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.41Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.11Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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10.73University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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8.44Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.5Yale University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.76Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Priebe | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% |
| Charles Carraway | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 14.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% |
| Edward Cook | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.