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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+7.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.76+5.83vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.11vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.75vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.50+3.74vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.66+2.47vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+3.85vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.62+0.28vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.38vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-2.09vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.07-0.13vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.39-2.58vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.35-3.29vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.16-3.45vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.18-4.70vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.50-7.00vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.11-6.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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6.75SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.74George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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7.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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10.87Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.42Yale University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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10.55Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.3Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Priebe | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 11.5% |
| Edward Cook | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Charles Carraway | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% |
| Nathan Sih | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.