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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+7.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.76+5.77vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.07+7.66vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.50+5.03vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.11+5.34vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.86vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+3.85vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-1.93vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-0.75vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-0.99vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.66-2.51vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.62-3.51vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.18-2.57vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.16-3.46vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.50-6.06vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.35-6.31vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.39-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.66Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.03Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.86SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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6.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.49Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.43Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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10.54Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.94George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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9.47Yale University2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 11.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| Edward Cook | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% |
| Matthew Priebe | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.