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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+7.93vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.58vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.50+5.97vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.50+5.00vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.11+4.73vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.66+1.31vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.62+0.25vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-0.75vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.76-2.20vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.65-2.49vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-1.15vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.16-2.45vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.07-3.09vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.18-4.77vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.35-6.32vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.39-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.58SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.97George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.73University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.25Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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10.55Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.23Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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9.48Yale University2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Priebe | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Edward Cook | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% |
| Connor Sheridan | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% |
| Javier Garcon | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% |
| Nathan Sih | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.