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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.62+7.20vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.16+8.25vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.02vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.65+4.33vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.39+4.09vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.50+3.01vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.66+1.27vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.18+1.98vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-0.83vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.06-3.49vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.50-1.88vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.91vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.76-5.07vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.11-3.36vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.07-4.35vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.03-5.11vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-6.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.25Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.33University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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9.09Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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9.01Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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9.98Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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8.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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6.51SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.12George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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10.65Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% |
| Charles Carraway | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Priebe | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.7% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.8% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.