← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.45+1.49vs Predicted
-
2Florida Institute of Technology0.73+1.48vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami0.83+0.53vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College-0.11+1.18vs Predicted
-
5Embry-Riddle University-0.52+0.94vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.01-1.05vs Predicted
-
7Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-2.67vs Predicted
-
8University of Florida-1.04-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.49Jacksonville University1.4533.2%1st Place
-
3.48Florida Institute of Technology0.7317.4%1st Place
-
3.53University of Miami0.8316.5%1st Place
-
5.18Rollins College-0.115.7%1st Place
-
5.94Embry-Riddle University-0.524.0%1st Place
-
4.95University of South Florida0.018.3%1st Place
-
4.33Palm Beach Atlantic University0.3611.0%1st Place
-
6.1University of Florida-1.043.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 33.2% | 26.1% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 17.4% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Long | 16.5% | 17.3% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Jack Adderley | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 13.4% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 21.4% | 29.7% |
| Blake March | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 11.7% |
| Dawson Kohl | 11.0% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 5.7% |
| Ayden Feria | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 19.7% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.