Race 3B

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Bo McClatchy 10.2% 10.0% 10.0% 10.1% 7.9% 8.2% 7.3% 8.0% 7.3% 7.3% 5.5% 4.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Joseph Turchiano 5.2% 4.3% 6.2% 7.2% 6.3% 9.0% 5.6% 7.2% 8.8% 7.5% 10.1% 8.9% 9.4% 3.7% 0.6%
Dan Crouch Crouch 5.7% 6.2% 6.9% 7.1% 6.2% 6.9% 6.9% 8.5% 8.0% 10.0% 10.8% 7.4% 6.7% 2.3% 0.4%
Michael Russom 6.1% 7.1% 6.2% 5.9% 7.8% 7.5% 7.5% 7.6% 8.1% 8.1% 9.1% 8.2% 7.4% 2.8% 0.6%
Cecilia Strombeck 8.6% 8.6% 8.6% 7.2% 9.4% 7.5% 9.1% 8.4% 8.8% 7.5% 5.5% 6.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Arielle DeLisser 6.8% 9.1% 6.9% 7.3% 9.1% 8.2% 8.9% 9.8% 7.5% 9.8% 6.3% 5.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.4%
Connor Timmins 7.4% 4.8% 6.9% 6.5% 6.7% 7.0% 9.2% 7.5% 9.4% 8.0% 8.8% 7.6% 5.9% 3.6% 0.7%
William Howard 11.2% 10.9% 9.5% 9.3% 10.6% 7.1% 9.9% 7.2% 6.9% 4.5% 6.9% 3.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Melissa Bermudez 2.9% 2.7% 3.4% 4.4% 3.8% 6.0% 5.8% 5.6% 7.4% 8.7% 9.8% 13.5% 15.7% 8.2% 2.1%
Phillip Weigand 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 2.1% 4.4% 20.1% 65.9%
Nick Aswad 11.3% 11.1% 10.4% 11.1% 9.4% 8.7% 7.5% 7.0% 5.9% 7.5% 3.7% 3.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Jason Sinclair 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 2.3% 2.5% 3.0% 6.5% 11.3% 40.8% 25.6%
Christian Geary 2.1% 3.3% 3.3% 4.0% 4.5% 4.7% 4.5% 4.8% 6.1% 6.4% 8.6% 14.6% 18.3% 12.1% 2.7%
James Rohman 7.4% 6.4% 7.7% 9.1% 8.1% 6.8% 8.5% 8.2% 8.0% 7.4% 7.8% 6.4% 5.8% 1.9% 0.5%
Willem Sandberg 14.0% 14.3% 13.1% 9.5% 8.8% 10.7% 7.1% 7.4% 4.8% 3.9% 2.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.