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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.50+7.66vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.96vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+5.02vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.65vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.16+4.48vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.65+1.29vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.92vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.50+0.06vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.03+0.69vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-0.07vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.66-3.77vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.62-4.50vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.39-4.55vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.07-4.36vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.18-5.67vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.11-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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6.65SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.48Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.06George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.5Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.45Yale University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.64Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.33Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 12.2% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Matthew Priebe | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| Edward Cook | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% |
| Nathan Sih | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.