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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+4.83vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+6.09vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.03+7.78vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.76+3.89vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.50vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.50+3.06vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.07+3.64vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.16+2.04vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.65-0.54vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-2.11vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.62-2.41vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.90vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.18-2.66vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.11-3.34vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-4.26vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.50-7.05vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.39-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.09University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.5SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.06George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.64Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.04Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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7.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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8.59Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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10.34Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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10.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.44Yale University2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Priebe | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| Charles Carraway | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Edward Cook | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 13.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Nathan Sih | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.