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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.11+8.69vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.19vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+4.59vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+1.85vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.65vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.03+4.26vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.39+1.90vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.78vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.66-1.24vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.50-1.55vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-0.85vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.62-4.03vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.65-5.17vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.07-4.05vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.18-5.28vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.16-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.69University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.19SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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5.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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10.26University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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8.9Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.45Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
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7.97Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.72Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.82Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connell Phillipps | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Charles Carraway | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% |
| Lucas Sawin | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.7% |
| Edward Cook | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% |
| Connor Sheridan | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.