Race 12A

admirals-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Leo Boucher 12.1% 13.7% 10.9% 9.9% 9.9% 7.9% 6.3% 6.5% 5.2% 4.6% 4.3% 2.8% 2.6% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Emily Bornarth 4.9% 7.7% 6.1% 6.5% 6.3% 6.4% 5.7% 6.2% 6.9% 6.4% 6.1% 6.1% 6.2% 6.9% 6.4% 5.2%
Connell Phillipps 4.5% 4.2% 3.7% 3.3% 5.4% 5.5% 5.4% 5.0% 6.3% 6.8% 6.0% 7.4% 7.0% 8.9% 10.1% 10.5%
Benton Amthor 9.5% 10.6% 10.2% 9.0% 7.7% 8.5% 7.4% 6.4% 6.6% 5.5% 5.1% 4.5% 4.2% 1.9% 1.5% 1.4%
Edward Cook 6.6% 6.9% 5.6% 6.9% 6.8% 8.2% 7.1% 7.0% 6.1% 6.3% 6.4% 6.2% 5.3% 7.0% 4.6% 3.0%
Gavin McJones 6.9% 6.4% 8.8% 9.2% 7.4% 6.1% 7.4% 7.7% 7.3% 5.4% 5.0% 6.1% 5.2% 4.7% 4.3% 2.1%
Atlee Kohl 7.6% 6.9% 6.2% 7.2% 6.1% 7.8% 6.3% 6.9% 6.3% 6.7% 5.3% 7.4% 5.6% 6.8% 3.9% 3.0%
Cameron Wood 6.0% 7.5% 6.4% 6.1% 6.8% 5.6% 6.6% 5.8% 7.3% 6.0% 8.1% 7.0% 6.0% 5.4% 5.0% 4.4%
Nathan Sih 5.3% 5.5% 5.2% 6.1% 5.9% 6.6% 6.1% 6.5% 5.9% 7.5% 7.2% 6.5% 6.9% 5.9% 6.1% 6.8%
Connor Sheridan 4.3% 3.5% 4.3% 3.8% 4.3% 3.2% 6.0% 4.5% 5.3% 6.4% 7.1% 7.8% 9.8% 9.6% 9.9% 10.2%
Lucas Sawin 4.4% 3.7% 4.5% 4.4% 4.2% 3.6% 4.9% 4.7% 5.1% 8.0% 5.5% 5.7% 9.1% 7.6% 11.6% 13.0%
Noyl Odom 5.2% 3.6% 3.9% 5.0% 5.4% 6.3% 6.5% 6.0% 4.8% 6.6% 5.3% 6.2% 6.7% 7.9% 9.4% 11.2%
Christian Spencer 6.7% 6.2% 8.6% 6.4% 6.8% 7.6% 7.5% 7.1% 6.4% 7.5% 7.3% 4.5% 5.2% 4.5% 4.7% 3.0%
Clayton Snyder 4.6% 4.4% 4.5% 4.3% 5.5% 5.0% 5.3% 6.4% 7.1% 5.1% 7.1% 7.1% 7.5% 8.0% 8.4% 9.7%
Charles Carraway 8.0% 5.6% 7.0% 7.7% 7.1% 7.7% 7.0% 7.2% 7.6% 5.5% 7.3% 6.5% 5.4% 5.1% 3.4% 1.9%
Christopher Sharpless 3.4% 3.6% 4.1% 4.2% 4.4% 4.0% 4.5% 6.1% 5.8% 5.7% 6.9% 8.2% 7.3% 8.1% 9.6% 14.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.