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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+4.64vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+5.72vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.50+5.38vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.41vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+5.16vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.76+1.46vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.07+3.14vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.65-0.32vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.03+1.13vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.18-0.30vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.11-1.06vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.39-3.12vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.62-5.15vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-5.55vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.16-5.18vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-8.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.38Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.41SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.14Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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9.7Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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8.88Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.85Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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9.82Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 12.8% | 11.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Connor Sheridan | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 12.6% |
| Christian Spencer | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 13.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% |
| Edward Cook | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% |
| Charles Carraway | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.