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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.50+7.26vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.07+7.94vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.62+4.93vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.39+4.95vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+2.63vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.36vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.66+0.90vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.03+2.08vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-0.44vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.65-2.09vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-0.88vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.16-2.25vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.18-3.40vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.76-6.77vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-9.18vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.11-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.94Tufts University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.93Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.95Yale University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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6.36SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.1%1st Place
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9.75Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.6Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Connor Sheridan | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% |
| Edward Cook | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Nathan Sih | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% |
| Charles Carraway | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Lucas Sawin | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 12.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.