Race 15A

admirals-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Christian Spencer 6.9% 8.1% 7.5% 7.0% 7.1% 6.4% 6.5% 6.3% 7.1% 6.3% 5.7% 6.3% 6.2% 5.3% 4.6% 2.7%
Leo Boucher 12.1% 13.1% 11.4% 9.6% 8.3% 7.5% 6.7% 7.5% 6.1% 4.1% 3.8% 3.3% 2.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4%
Clayton Snyder 4.7% 3.6% 4.0% 4.7% 4.6% 4.8% 5.4% 6.2% 6.4% 5.0% 6.9% 7.8% 7.4% 9.7% 9.8% 9.0%
Lucas Sawin 2.7% 4.2% 5.5% 3.6% 4.1% 5.3% 3.7% 5.0% 5.4% 4.9% 6.0% 6.6% 9.7% 7.1% 11.6% 14.6%
Cameron Wood 6.3% 4.7% 6.0% 5.8% 6.8% 6.5% 7.5% 5.2% 6.6% 7.0% 6.6% 5.6% 7.9% 7.6% 5.9% 4.0%
Nathan Sih 4.6% 4.5% 5.7% 6.3% 6.4% 6.5% 6.3% 6.0% 6.6% 5.2% 6.7% 7.4% 6.7% 6.8% 7.4% 6.9%
Connell Phillipps 4.2% 4.6% 4.0% 4.8% 4.5% 3.5% 4.9% 5.1% 4.7% 6.5% 6.8% 6.8% 7.4% 9.7% 9.5% 13.0%
Charles Carraway 7.9% 8.3% 7.2% 7.1% 6.2% 7.7% 7.4% 6.9% 6.0% 7.3% 6.6% 5.2% 5.6% 4.7% 3.2% 2.7%
Edward Cook 6.2% 7.6% 7.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.2% 7.1% 6.3% 6.1% 7.6% 6.0% 6.2% 6.4% 4.0% 3.7% 5.1%
Gavin McJones 7.7% 7.3% 6.3% 7.3% 6.1% 8.6% 7.7% 8.0% 7.8% 6.7% 6.7% 5.5% 4.2% 4.3% 3.7% 2.1%
Atlee Kohl 7.6% 6.8% 6.7% 7.5% 6.2% 6.5% 6.1% 7.1% 7.5% 5.5% 6.9% 7.2% 4.7% 5.9% 4.4% 3.4%
Connor Sheridan 4.4% 3.5% 3.8% 3.6% 6.1% 4.5% 5.2% 5.7% 5.0% 6.6% 5.2% 6.4% 7.5% 7.2% 11.6% 13.7%
Javier Garcon 4.3% 5.2% 5.8% 6.4% 5.5% 5.3% 6.2% 5.1% 7.0% 6.7% 7.2% 8.3% 5.9% 6.7% 7.7% 6.7%
Emily Bornarth 6.4% 5.1% 5.7% 5.6% 7.2% 7.0% 6.6% 6.1% 6.3% 6.1% 6.1% 6.0% 7.8% 7.4% 5.7% 4.9%
Benton Amthor 10.3% 9.1% 9.2% 9.4% 9.0% 7.1% 8.1% 7.2% 5.6% 7.3% 5.6% 3.9% 3.5% 1.9% 2.3% 0.5%
Noyl Odom 3.7% 4.3% 4.2% 4.8% 4.9% 5.6% 4.6% 6.3% 5.8% 7.2% 7.2% 7.5% 6.2% 9.4% 8.0% 10.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.