Race 16A

admirals-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Connell Phillipps 3.2% 4.7% 5.6% 5.0% 5.0% 5.4% 4.0% 6.1% 5.5% 6.1% 6.0% 7.3% 7.3% 7.9% 10.0% 10.9%
Charles Carraway 7.2% 9.5% 6.5% 8.0% 7.0% 6.2% 6.8% 6.9% 6.5% 6.2% 6.9% 5.7% 4.4% 5.4% 3.5% 3.3%
Javier Garcon 5.9% 4.1% 5.4% 5.2% 6.1% 5.1% 6.3% 6.5% 5.5% 5.4% 8.1% 6.7% 7.8% 8.5% 6.7% 6.7%
Nathan Sih 4.4% 6.0% 6.4% 5.1% 6.1% 4.7% 5.6% 6.1% 6.3% 5.6% 6.9% 7.5% 7.8% 6.8% 7.5% 7.2%
Emily Bornarth 5.6% 5.8% 5.3% 5.1% 6.5% 6.9% 6.5% 6.4% 6.3% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 7.3% 7.4% 6.5% 5.4%
Cameron Wood 5.4% 5.8% 5.4% 7.8% 7.3% 5.4% 6.9% 5.3% 6.3% 7.6% 5.9% 6.3% 6.5% 6.0% 7.0% 5.1%
Atlee Kohl 7.2% 7.0% 7.1% 6.4% 6.3% 7.1% 6.5% 6.0% 6.9% 7.0% 5.8% 5.5% 7.0% 6.5% 5.1% 2.6%
Benton Amthor 11.9% 10.5% 9.0% 9.6% 7.5% 8.7% 7.5% 8.0% 5.9% 4.7% 5.5% 3.5% 3.1% 2.0% 1.7% 0.9%
Christian Spencer 6.2% 7.5% 6.9% 7.1% 7.0% 7.3% 7.0% 6.5% 7.3% 6.9% 5.5% 6.2% 6.9% 3.7% 3.5% 4.5%
Gavin McJones 8.3% 6.2% 7.2% 6.2% 7.1% 7.9% 7.8% 8.3% 6.0% 7.6% 7.4% 5.9% 3.8% 4.7% 2.9% 2.7%
Leo Boucher 12.3% 11.4% 11.5% 9.2% 9.6% 6.9% 6.7% 6.5% 6.9% 5.6% 4.1% 3.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.6% 0.4%
Clayton Snyder 4.7% 3.6% 4.1% 5.0% 5.0% 5.7% 6.5% 5.8% 5.9% 4.3% 6.0% 6.7% 6.1% 9.4% 9.2% 12.0%
Noyl Odom 3.5% 3.8% 6.2% 4.8% 4.8% 5.0% 6.4% 4.5% 5.2% 7.4% 7.6% 6.5% 8.1% 6.9% 9.5% 9.8%
Lucas Sawin 4.3% 3.6% 3.3% 4.6% 4.6% 4.4% 5.2% 5.6% 6.6% 6.5% 5.1% 6.2% 7.6% 9.3% 10.3% 12.8%
Edward Cook 6.8% 6.3% 6.3% 6.2% 6.0% 8.3% 6.2% 6.5% 6.6% 6.8% 6.5% 7.6% 6.0% 6.0% 5.3% 2.6%
Connor Sheridan 3.1% 4.2% 3.8% 4.7% 4.1% 5.0% 4.1% 5.0% 6.3% 5.3% 6.7% 9.0% 8.3% 7.6% 9.7% 13.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.