Race 17A

admirals-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lucas Sawin 3.0% 4.4% 4.7% 5.3% 5.5% 4.3% 5.2% 5.0% 5.0% 4.8% 7.2% 6.5% 7.5% 8.3% 11.3% 12.0%
Charles Carraway 7.5% 7.8% 8.6% 7.6% 6.0% 6.8% 6.9% 7.6% 6.1% 6.8% 5.4% 6.0% 5.2% 5.2% 3.8% 2.7%
Leo Boucher 13.0% 10.0% 10.7% 8.8% 9.4% 8.1% 8.0% 8.5% 6.3% 5.5% 3.4% 2.3% 2.3% 2.0% 1.0% 0.7%
Christian Spencer 5.9% 7.4% 8.2% 4.8% 7.5% 6.4% 5.9% 6.9% 7.0% 6.8% 6.8% 6.7% 5.1% 6.0% 4.9% 3.7%
Atlee Kohl 6.3% 7.6% 6.4% 6.9% 7.1% 6.7% 9.0% 6.2% 5.9% 6.3% 6.1% 5.4% 6.4% 6.8% 4.6% 2.3%
Clayton Snyder 4.0% 3.3% 4.3% 4.8% 5.8% 6.3% 5.8% 5.1% 6.0% 4.8% 6.0% 7.6% 6.2% 8.6% 8.7% 12.7%
Emily Bornarth 6.1% 5.3% 6.5% 4.9% 5.2% 6.1% 6.0% 6.9% 6.4% 6.7% 6.3% 6.6% 6.7% 7.6% 6.7% 6.0%
Nathan Sih 5.6% 6.0% 6.3% 5.6% 6.5% 5.2% 5.8% 5.9% 5.7% 6.7% 7.4% 6.9% 7.3% 6.0% 6.7% 6.4%
Benton Amthor 10.6% 10.5% 10.5% 9.1% 8.3% 7.8% 6.1% 7.7% 6.5% 6.0% 4.8% 3.6% 3.0% 2.2% 1.9% 1.4%
Connell Phillipps 4.2% 4.9% 3.7% 3.1% 3.7% 5.7% 5.1% 4.2% 5.7% 7.3% 6.4% 8.6% 8.0% 8.8% 8.7% 11.9%
Edward Cook 6.6% 7.8% 5.6% 7.7% 5.7% 6.5% 6.1% 7.6% 6.6% 6.1% 7.4% 6.8% 6.5% 4.8% 5.2% 3.0%
Cameron Wood 6.7% 4.7% 5.3% 7.3% 7.2% 7.1% 5.5% 5.8% 5.9% 6.5% 6.1% 6.8% 7.1% 6.2% 6.7% 5.1%
Gavin McJones 6.5% 8.0% 7.1% 9.4% 7.6% 6.2% 8.0% 6.7% 7.0% 7.4% 5.7% 5.3% 4.8% 4.8% 2.8% 2.7%
Javier Garcon 6.1% 4.4% 4.9% 6.0% 5.2% 7.1% 6.1% 5.0% 8.2% 6.1% 6.5% 7.3% 6.5% 6.3% 6.8% 7.5%
Connor Sheridan 4.0% 3.7% 3.3% 2.9% 5.2% 5.4% 5.2% 5.1% 5.0% 5.2% 7.5% 6.6% 9.0% 8.7% 11.8% 11.4%
Noyl Odom 3.9% 4.2% 3.9% 5.8% 4.1% 4.3% 5.3% 5.8% 6.7% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 8.4% 7.7% 8.4% 10.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.