← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami2.32+10.64vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.15+4.39vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.82+7.83vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.22+5.65vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.49+4.59vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.38+2.63vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.03+4.98vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.76vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.58+0.43vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University2.28-0.29vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.18-4.94vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University2.20-1.71vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.87vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy2.60-5.66vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.73-7.12vs Predicted
-
16Yale University2.73-9.28vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island2.78-7.04vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.64University of Miami2.323.6%1st Place
-
6.39Stanford University3.1510.5%1st Place
-
10.83George Washington University1.823.4%1st Place
-
9.65Tufts University2.225.2%1st Place
-
9.59College of Charleston2.495.0%1st Place
-
8.63Dartmouth College2.386.2%1st Place
-
11.98Bowdoin College2.032.7%1st Place
-
9.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.574.7%1st Place
-
9.43Boston College2.585.5%1st Place
-
9.71Tulane University2.284.8%1st Place
-
6.06Harvard University3.1810.4%1st Place
-
10.29Georgetown University2.204.4%1st Place
-
11.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.313.0%1st Place
-
8.34U. S. Naval Academy2.606.8%1st Place
-
7.88Brown University2.738.4%1st Place
-
6.72Yale University2.739.0%1st Place
-
9.96University of Rhode Island2.784.6%1st Place
-
13.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.271.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| William Michels | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 15.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Peter Busch | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Jack Egan | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| James Kopack | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.