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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.68+6.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+3.75vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.52+2.10vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.50+4.59vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.11+1.26vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.07+4.13vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.03-0.24vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-0.68vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.68-0.92vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.65-2.12vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.57+0.64vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.25-6.04vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-0.15+2.39vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.72-0.12vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.03+0.18vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-5.76vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-9.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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5.1Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.59Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.26Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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10.13Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.32Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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7.88SUNY Maritime College2.650.0%1st Place
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11.64George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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15.39U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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13.88Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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15.18Princeton University-0.030.0%1st Place
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10.24Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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7.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Russom | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 14.0% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Bo McClatchy | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Rohman | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Timmins | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dan Crouch Crouch | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Hussain Patel | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 8.4% | 2.6% |
| William Howard | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Weigand | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 11.1% | 27.1% | 45.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 24.2% | 25.5% | 13.0% |
| Elizabeth Smith | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 13.0% | 28.6% | 37.5% |
| Christian Geary | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.