Race 11B

admirals-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Riley Read 4.0% 6.1% 6.3% 6.5% 5.0% 5.3% 6.3% 6.5% 4.7% 8.0% 6.5% 7.6% 7.8% 7.9% 6.9% 4.6%
Aidan Dennis 4.7% 6.4% 7.7% 6.5% 5.2% 6.5% 5.2% 6.1% 6.4% 7.4% 7.2% 7.7% 6.2% 7.2% 5.9% 3.7%
Owen Hennessey 11.8% 9.9% 9.8% 9.0% 10.4% 8.1% 8.8% 7.1% 7.0% 4.8% 4.2% 3.6% 2.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.4%
Christophe Chaumont 2.5% 3.3% 3.3% 3.6% 3.7% 4.8% 4.2% 3.9% 5.1% 5.1% 6.6% 6.4% 8.2% 9.7% 14.2% 15.4%
Scott Mais 10.6% 10.8% 7.5% 10.9% 10.3% 6.6% 8.6% 6.5% 5.5% 5.0% 6.4% 4.1% 4.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Parker Purrington 3.8% 2.8% 4.3% 5.1% 5.0% 5.2% 6.4% 5.3% 6.1% 6.5% 5.2% 6.3% 9.8% 8.8% 10.2% 9.2%
Porter Kavle 8.4% 8.6% 8.4% 5.9% 7.2% 7.8% 6.8% 6.3% 7.3% 6.3% 5.5% 7.4% 5.1% 4.4% 3.4% 1.2%
Nicholas Reeser 9.2% 7.7% 8.6% 7.4% 7.1% 6.9% 6.9% 7.1% 8.0% 7.9% 5.9% 5.1% 4.4% 4.1% 2.0% 1.7%
Samuel Bartel 4.8% 6.1% 5.8% 5.4% 5.9% 6.6% 5.9% 7.2% 7.7% 6.5% 7.8% 6.4% 7.4% 6.7% 5.2% 4.6%
Michael Burns 4.3% 4.7% 4.6% 4.3% 4.4% 5.4% 5.0% 6.2% 6.0% 7.5% 8.1% 8.1% 7.5% 10.0% 7.6% 6.3%
Will Murray 8.6% 7.5% 7.9% 8.8% 5.9% 7.5% 6.8% 7.7% 7.6% 6.1% 6.5% 6.1% 5.0% 4.6% 2.5% 0.9%
Patrick Mulcahy 4.1% 3.2% 3.3% 2.4% 4.7% 5.2% 5.5% 5.7% 4.9% 5.0% 5.8% 7.3% 7.8% 9.5% 13.0% 12.6%
Jordan Bruce 8.4% 11.2% 8.7% 9.5% 7.8% 8.9% 8.0% 7.8% 5.8% 5.6% 5.0% 6.0% 2.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.6%
Spencer Barnes 6.7% 4.7% 7.0% 6.2% 7.2% 6.0% 7.1% 6.9% 7.6% 8.0% 7.1% 5.4% 7.4% 4.7% 5.5% 2.5%
Trenton Shaw 6.7% 5.0% 5.5% 6.5% 7.8% 7.4% 6.1% 6.3% 6.7% 6.7% 8.4% 6.9% 6.8% 6.7% 4.8% 1.7%
Ryan Hamilton 1.4% 2.0% 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 1.8% 2.4% 3.4% 3.6% 3.6% 3.8% 5.6% 7.2% 9.2% 16.0% 34.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.