Race 12B

admirals-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Will Murray 7.9% 8.6% 9.6% 7.3% 7.5% 9.2% 7.1% 7.1% 6.9% 6.7% 4.4% 4.0% 5.2% 4.0% 2.8% 1.7%
Porter Kavle 7.8% 9.0% 8.5% 7.6% 8.0% 8.2% 6.6% 6.7% 6.3% 6.9% 5.6% 5.8% 4.8% 4.0% 2.3% 1.9%
Michael Burns 4.8% 4.3% 4.1% 5.3% 5.5% 5.1% 5.5% 6.1% 7.2% 5.3% 8.0% 7.7% 8.9% 8.5% 7.5% 6.2%
Aidan Dennis 4.7% 5.8% 5.8% 5.9% 5.6% 6.8% 5.4% 7.5% 5.5% 7.4% 7.1% 6.8% 7.2% 7.3% 7.1% 4.1%
Parker Purrington 3.3% 3.6% 3.7% 5.2% 5.8% 4.2% 6.0% 4.3% 6.6% 6.9% 6.5% 7.1% 6.7% 10.1% 11.9% 8.1%
Jordan Bruce 9.1% 9.1% 10.2% 9.4% 8.3% 7.2% 8.7% 6.5% 5.6% 7.0% 5.2% 4.9% 3.3% 2.6% 2.2% 0.7%
Nicholas Reeser 8.4% 8.4% 6.8% 7.2% 7.2% 9.0% 6.7% 6.7% 6.0% 7.0% 6.0% 6.5% 5.3% 4.8% 2.8% 1.2%
Samuel Bartel 5.5% 6.1% 5.4% 5.8% 6.9% 6.0% 6.7% 6.3% 7.0% 7.6% 6.2% 6.9% 6.0% 8.2% 5.2% 4.2%
Christophe Chaumont 3.1% 2.8% 3.8% 3.3% 4.1% 3.7% 4.4% 6.1% 5.2% 4.8% 6.0% 7.6% 8.0% 10.2% 12.2% 14.7%
Riley Read 4.9% 4.9% 4.8% 5.0% 3.7% 6.0% 5.6% 6.3% 6.6% 8.5% 7.1% 9.9% 7.0% 7.6% 6.5% 5.6%
Spencer Barnes 7.2% 5.8% 5.1% 7.1% 6.5% 6.3% 6.2% 6.8% 6.2% 6.9% 7.9% 5.8% 8.1% 5.9% 5.3% 2.9%
Owen Hennessey 11.9% 10.6% 11.0% 10.0% 7.8% 6.3% 8.0% 7.2% 7.4% 4.6% 6.0% 2.9% 2.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.3%
Scott Mais 10.8% 10.7% 9.8% 8.4% 10.0% 7.5% 9.9% 7.2% 5.8% 5.0% 4.9% 3.3% 3.4% 1.7% 1.2% 0.4%
Ryan Hamilton 1.9% 1.3% 2.0% 2.0% 2.1% 2.3% 2.8% 3.4% 4.2% 4.7% 4.1% 4.8% 8.5% 8.2% 14.3% 33.4%
Trenton Shaw 6.3% 5.4% 6.2% 6.3% 6.6% 8.5% 6.2% 6.3% 8.3% 5.8% 6.8% 7.2% 7.0% 5.8% 5.2% 2.1%
Patrick Mulcahy 2.4% 3.6% 3.2% 4.2% 4.4% 3.7% 4.2% 5.5% 5.2% 4.9% 8.2% 8.8% 8.4% 8.7% 12.1% 12.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.