Race 13B

admirals-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Spencer Barnes 5.8% 7.7% 6.4% 6.2% 6.7% 7.1% 6.4% 6.6% 7.3% 7.7% 5.7% 7.6% 5.5% 5.8% 4.9% 2.6%
Riley Read 4.5% 5.6% 5.5% 6.1% 6.5% 5.1% 5.1% 6.1% 6.7% 6.6% 8.4% 6.2% 7.8% 7.7% 6.4% 5.7%
Jonathan Bailey 5.2% 4.3% 4.7% 5.1% 4.7% 5.4% 7.2% 5.8% 5.8% 7.3% 6.7% 9.0% 8.2% 7.0% 7.7% 5.9%
Will Murray 6.6% 9.4% 7.4% 7.5% 7.4% 7.1% 7.2% 8.5% 6.7% 6.3% 7.0% 5.2% 4.9% 4.7% 2.6% 1.5%
Aidan Dennis 5.2% 5.2% 4.7% 6.9% 5.8% 8.3% 6.9% 6.1% 7.3% 6.1% 7.5% 7.3% 6.6% 6.2% 6.5% 3.4%
Porter Kavle 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 9.3% 7.3% 7.4% 8.8% 6.7% 6.5% 5.3% 6.5% 5.9% 4.8% 3.8% 3.0% 1.7%
Jordan Bruce 10.2% 8.7% 8.8% 9.1% 7.7% 7.7% 9.1% 6.2% 6.4% 6.7% 5.3% 4.6% 4.2% 2.6% 2.2% 0.5%
Scott Mais 11.3% 12.1% 10.5% 8.7% 8.5% 8.4% 7.0% 8.0% 6.7% 5.1% 4.4% 2.9% 3.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.3%
Owen Hennessey 11.5% 10.7% 12.8% 8.9% 8.9% 8.2% 7.0% 7.5% 6.4% 3.8% 5.6% 2.9% 2.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.7%
Michael Burns 4.7% 3.9% 4.7% 5.2% 4.8% 4.2% 6.0% 4.9% 6.8% 7.4% 7.7% 8.9% 8.7% 9.0% 7.0% 6.1%
Nicholas Reeser 9.3% 6.8% 8.8% 6.7% 7.1% 7.4% 6.8% 8.7% 7.1% 6.8% 6.6% 5.4% 4.9% 3.9% 3.2% 0.5%
Trenton Shaw 7.1% 6.1% 5.7% 6.4% 9.1% 6.3% 7.2% 5.2% 5.9% 6.9% 6.8% 6.2% 6.8% 6.3% 4.6% 3.4%
Christophe Chaumont 2.4% 2.3% 3.7% 4.8% 4.2% 3.7% 4.4% 4.4% 5.8% 6.2% 5.9% 7.1% 8.9% 9.8% 12.4% 14.0%
Parker Purrington 4.5% 4.0% 3.8% 4.2% 5.1% 5.0% 5.4% 6.5% 7.1% 7.0% 5.2% 8.7% 7.4% 9.5% 8.5% 8.1%
Patrick Mulcahy 3.4% 3.5% 2.8% 3.3% 3.8% 5.6% 3.4% 5.9% 4.3% 6.7% 6.7% 6.3% 8.9% 11.1% 13.3% 11.0%
Ryan Hamilton 1.3% 1.9% 1.5% 1.6% 2.4% 3.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 4.1% 4.0% 5.8% 7.1% 9.1% 15.3% 34.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.