Race 17B

admirals-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Christophe Chaumont 2.2% 3.2% 5.0% 3.6% 5.0% 5.5% 4.6% 4.1% 5.3% 6.2% 6.1% 7.3% 7.7% 9.2% 11.8% 13.2%
Parker Purrington 3.5% 5.7% 5.3% 4.7% 4.8% 5.2% 5.0% 5.8% 7.0% 5.2% 6.3% 7.6% 8.7% 7.6% 10.7% 6.9%
Will Murray 8.7% 8.2% 6.5% 9.3% 7.1% 9.8% 6.5% 7.9% 6.8% 7.6% 5.7% 5.1% 4.3% 2.6% 2.5% 1.4%
Jonathan Bailey 4.3% 4.2% 7.2% 5.2% 4.0% 6.7% 5.5% 5.7% 5.8% 6.9% 7.6% 7.2% 6.6% 8.3% 8.7% 6.1%
Scott Mais 10.2% 12.9% 8.4% 9.4% 11.3% 7.9% 7.8% 5.8% 6.1% 5.9% 5.1% 3.4% 2.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Trenton Shaw 6.2% 5.2% 8.3% 8.1% 7.2% 6.8% 6.9% 6.5% 6.7% 6.0% 6.8% 5.8% 6.8% 5.2% 4.4% 3.1%
Nicholas Reeser 9.2% 9.1% 7.8% 5.9% 8.7% 7.2% 7.8% 7.2% 5.6% 6.5% 6.6% 5.7% 5.9% 3.2% 2.6% 1.0%
Porter Kavle 9.3% 8.8% 8.7% 7.9% 9.2% 6.0% 7.8% 7.2% 7.0% 6.8% 5.5% 4.1% 5.1% 3.5% 1.9% 1.2%
Patrick Mulcahy 3.7% 3.9% 3.2% 4.4% 3.4% 4.8% 4.9% 5.6% 5.6% 6.4% 6.7% 8.3% 6.8% 11.3% 10.5% 10.5%
Spencer Barnes 6.9% 5.3% 6.2% 6.0% 6.7% 5.5% 6.1% 9.3% 8.3% 7.2% 8.6% 6.2% 5.5% 4.3% 5.2% 2.7%
Michael Burns 5.1% 5.0% 4.5% 5.7% 4.7% 4.7% 6.1% 5.9% 7.5% 5.7% 6.5% 7.7% 7.8% 8.5% 8.5% 6.1%
Aidan Dennis 6.7% 5.4% 5.5% 7.3% 6.8% 6.4% 6.6% 6.2% 5.6% 6.4% 7.1% 6.1% 7.0% 7.9% 4.8% 4.2%
Owen Hennessey 12.3% 12.1% 11.0% 10.0% 8.5% 9.1% 7.5% 7.1% 5.9% 4.3% 3.4% 3.4% 2.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
Ryan Hamilton 1.8% 1.9% 2.6% 1.3% 2.4% 2.3% 2.8% 3.6% 4.3% 4.6% 4.3% 5.7% 8.4% 8.2% 13.1% 32.7%
Riley Read 5.7% 4.1% 4.4% 6.2% 5.2% 6.4% 7.4% 5.6% 6.1% 6.1% 7.0% 8.7% 7.5% 8.1% 7.0% 4.5%
Samuel Gavula 4.2% 5.0% 5.4% 5.0% 5.0% 5.7% 6.7% 6.5% 6.4% 8.2% 6.7% 7.7% 6.9% 8.4% 6.2% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.