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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+0.77vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-2.82+15.41vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.36vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+2.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.28+4.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+0.49vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands-1.45+6.77vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University0.17-0.58vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.01-0.97vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.39-0.43vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.70vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-2.07+3.56vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+0.13vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-1.99vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.45-1.23vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.46-2.65vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.93-2.04vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University0.59-11.89vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-4.75vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.97-8.38vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-2.32-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77University of Southern California2.970.6%1st Place
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17.41Arizona State University-2.820.0%1st Place
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4.36University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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6.59University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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9.03University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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13.77California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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7.42San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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8.03University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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9.57University of California at Irvine-0.390.0%1st Place
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8.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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15.56University of California at San Diego-2.070.0%1st Place
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13.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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12.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.77California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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13.35University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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14.96University of California at Los Angeles-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.11Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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14.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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11.62University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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16.27University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 55.8% | 24.8% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 38.7% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 11.7% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 1.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AnnaClaire Rogness | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 0.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Sandor Felber | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 5.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.