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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.11+5.19vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.65+5.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+2.75vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.94vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.03+1.54vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.07+4.21vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.68+0.93vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.25-2.16vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.84vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.52-4.96vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.81-3.43vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.57-0.41vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.50-4.34vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.72-0.14vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.03+0.19vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-5.78vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-0.15-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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7.83SUNY Maritime College2.650.1%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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6.54Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.21Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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7.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.04Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.57Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.59George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.66Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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13.86Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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15.19Princeton University-0.030.0%1st Place
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10.22Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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15.48U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo McClatchy | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dan Crouch Crouch | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Connor Timmins | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Howard | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 13.5% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Rohman | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hussain Patel | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 8.5% | 1.9% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jason Sinclair | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 11.1% | 23.4% | 25.1% | 13.4% |
| Elizabeth Smith | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 26.3% | 39.7% |
| Christian Geary | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Phillip Weigand | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 27.2% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.