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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+0.82vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.54+1.93vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.39vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-2.82+11.75vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands-1.45+7.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+0.44vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.88vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.01-0.19vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07+2.24vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-1.45+2.30vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.17-3.50vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+0.05vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.46-0.24vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.59-8.05vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-2.08vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.28-7.39vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.97-6.03vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.93-4.02vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.32-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82University of Southern California2.970.5%1st Place
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3.93San Diego State University1.540.1%1st Place
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4.39University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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15.75Arizona State University-2.820.0%1st Place
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12.3California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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6.44University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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7.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.81University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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11.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.3California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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7.5San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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12.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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12.76University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.95Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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12.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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8.61University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
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10.97University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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13.98University of California at Los Angeles-1.930.0%1st Place
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14.69University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 52.1% | 26.1% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 10.6% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.8% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 17.1% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Sandor Felber | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 21.2% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.