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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+4.87vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.01+5.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.29+3.34vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands-1.45+7.76vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University1.54-1.90vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.19-2.17vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.46+4.90vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.59-2.73vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-2.82+6.71vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.59vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68+1.76vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University0.17-5.11vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-1.75vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-3.55vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-2.07-1.22vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.45-4.24vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.65-4.36vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.97-7.56vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.32-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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7.25University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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6.34University of California at Los Angeles0.290.1%1st Place
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11.76California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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3.1San Diego State University1.540.3%1st Place
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3.83University of Southern California1.190.2%1st Place
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11.9University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.27Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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15.71Arizona State University-2.820.0%1st Place
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7.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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12.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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6.89San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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11.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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10.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.78University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.0%1st Place
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11.76California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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12.64University of California at Los Angeles-1.650.0%1st Place
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10.44University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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14.36University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Soliman | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 7.0% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 28.3% | 21.2% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Leipold | 17.6% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 18.0% | 41.8% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Teresa Dang | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Josephine Galvin | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.