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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.19+3.01vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.54+1.18vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.59+2.44vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands-1.45+7.83vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.46+6.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.01+1.14vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+4.48vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.29-1.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-3.35vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.07+3.93vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-1.45+0.83vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-1.15vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-2.82+2.82vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.65-1.54vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-2.62vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.32-1.50vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.97-6.59vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University0.17-11.25vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-11.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01University of Southern California1.190.2%1st Place
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3.18San Diego State University1.540.2%1st Place
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5.44Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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11.83California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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11.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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7.14University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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11.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Los Angeles0.290.1%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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13.93University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.0%1st Place
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11.83California State University Channel Islands-1.450.0%1st Place
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10.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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15.82Arizona State University-2.820.0%1st Place
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12.46University of California at Los Angeles-1.650.0%1st Place
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12.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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14.5University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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10.41University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.75San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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7.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Leipold | 18.2% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 23.9% | 20.5% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teresa Dang | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Kaylena Mann | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 45.1% | 0.0% |
| Josephine Galvin | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.