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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+3.75vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.67+0.53vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.11+2.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06-0.52vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46+2.62vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.07+0.25vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.54+0.70vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.90+1.14vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.77+2.92vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+2.71vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13+2.34vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.07-2.23vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+0.80vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.97-1.09vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.97-2.09vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.68-1.06vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.02-4.09vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.50-3.43vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.35-4.96vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-1.80-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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2.53University of Southern California1.670.4%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Los Angeles1.060.2%1st Place
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7.62University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.0%1st Place
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6.25University of California at San Diego-0.070.1%1st Place
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7.7San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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9.14Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.92Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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12.71University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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13.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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9.77University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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12.91California State University Channel Islands-1.970.0%1st Place
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12.91California State University Channel Islands-1.970.0%1st Place
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14.94University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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12.91University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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14.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.500.0%1st Place
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14.04University of California at Los Angeles-2.350.0%1st Place
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11.83San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 9.8% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 35.1% | 22.8% | 17.7% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 18.5% | 19.6% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Burton | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Declan Dury | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Declan Dury | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 24.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Rosenbaum | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| John Gallagher | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Tegan Smith | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.