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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.65vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.67+0.53vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.07+3.67vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.97vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.11+1.00vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46+1.93vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+3.05vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-1.97+5.29vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.54-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+3.35vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.90-1.55vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.80+1.00vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.02+0.91vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.77-1.33vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-2.35-0.28vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34-1.30vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.50-1.85vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.97-4.71vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.68-3.07vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.07-10.05vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of California at Los Angeles1.060.2%1st Place
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2.53University of Southern California1.670.3%1st Place
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6.67University of California at San Diego-0.070.1%1st Place
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4.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.05University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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13.29California State University Channel Islands-1.970.0%1st Place
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7.94San Diego State University-0.540.0%1st Place
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13.35University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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9.45Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.0San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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13.91University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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12.67Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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14.72University of California at Los Angeles-2.350.0%1st Place
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14.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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15.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.500.0%1st Place
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13.29California State University Channel Islands-1.970.0%1st Place
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15.93University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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9.95University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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14.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 18.5% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 33.6% | 26.1% | 17.4% | 11.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 10.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Dury | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Burton | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| John Gallagher | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Rosenbaum | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Declan Dury | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.