← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1San Diego State University-0.29+5.99vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46+5.69vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.67-0.43vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-0.07+2.33vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles1.06-1.35vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.15vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-2.20vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University-0.90+1.19vs Predicted
-
9San Diego State University-1.80+2.90vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13+3.18vs Predicted
-
11California State University Channel Islands-1.97+1.73vs Predicted
-
12California State University Channel Islands-1.97+0.73vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.50+1.75vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34-0.29vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-2.30vs Predicted
-
16Arizona State University-2.53-1.66vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-2.35-3.06vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-2.02-5.21vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-2.68-4.00vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Irvine-0.66-12.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.99San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
7.69University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.0%1st Place
-
2.57University of Southern California1.670.3%1st Place
-
6.33University of California at San Diego-0.070.1%1st Place
-
3.65University of California at Los Angeles1.060.2%1st Place
-
5.85University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
-
4.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
-
9.19Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
11.9San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
-
13.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
-
12.73California State University Channel Islands-1.970.0%1st Place
-
12.73California State University Channel Islands-1.970.0%1st Place
-
14.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.500.0%1st Place
-
13.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
-
12.7University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
-
14.34Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
-
13.94University of California at Los Angeles-2.350.0%1st Place
-
12.79University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
-
15.0University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
-
7.88University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Gignac | 4.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 34.1% | 23.7% | 18.8% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 5.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 16.8% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 10.9% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tegan Smith | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Declan Dury | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Declan Dury | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Rosenbaum | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| John Gallagher | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.