← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University2.43+7.26vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.52+2.84vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.68+4.52vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College2.65+3.69vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.03+1.38vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.75vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.81+0.19vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.68-0.57vs Predicted
-
9Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+0.68vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami3.25-4.30vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College3.11-4.89vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University2.50-3.87vs Predicted
-
13Drexel University0.72+0.09vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.46-5.83vs Predicted
-
15Princeton University-0.03-0.57vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Military Academy-0.15-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.26Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
-
4.84Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
-
7.52University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
-
7.69SUNY Maritime College2.650.1%1st Place
-
6.38Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
-
6.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
-
7.19Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
7.43U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
-
9.68Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
-
5.7University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
-
6.11Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
-
8.13Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
-
13.09Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.460.1%1st Place
-
14.43Princeton University-0.030.0%1st Place
-
14.63U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Jacqz | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Willem Sandberg | 15.2% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Dan Crouch Crouch | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Rohman | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Timmins | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| William Howard | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Bo McClatchy | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 26.4% | 27.8% | 12.3% |
| Arthur Bailey IV | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Smith | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 13.4% | 31.4% | 40.3% |
| Phillip Weigand | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 12.7% | 27.9% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.