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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California-0.38+5.01vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine-0.66+4.96vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.25+1.61vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.29+0.85vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.90+1.71vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+4.60vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-1.97+3.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.07-4.00vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+2.81vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-2.42+2.17vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13+0.54vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.80-2.26vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-2.53-0.29vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.97-3.21vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.50-2.70vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46-10.81vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.02-6.28vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.68-4.94vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-4.32-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01University of Southern California-0.380.1%1st Place
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6.96University of California at Irvine-0.660.1%1st Place
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3.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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5.61University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.1%1st Place
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5.85San Diego State University-0.290.1%1st Place
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7.71Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
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11.6University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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11.79California State University Channel Islands-1.970.0%1st Place
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5.0University of California at San Diego-0.070.1%1st Place
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12.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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13.17University of California at Los Angeles-2.420.0%1st Place
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12.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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10.74San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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13.71Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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11.79California State University Channel Islands-1.970.0%1st Place
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13.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.500.0%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.1%1st Place
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11.72University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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14.06University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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17.55University of California at Los Angeles-4.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eleanor Desai | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 22.9% | 18.0% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Dury | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Araoz | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Tegan Smith | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Pearson | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Declan Dury | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Rosenbaum | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Fadia Nitrosso | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 65.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.