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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.78vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.32+0.58vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.38+0.62vs Predicted
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4Villanova University-0.08-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.19+0.99vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.08-0.14vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Virginia Tech0.180.3%1st Place
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2.58Drexel University0.320.3%1st Place
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3.62Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
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3.18Villanova University-0.080.2%1st Place
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5.99University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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5.86Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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3.99SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 25.6% | 23.6% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Iain Shand | 27.7% | 26.8% | 20.4% | 14.1% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Alex Walters | 13.0% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 20.9% | 18.9% | 11.7% | 2.1% |
| Jack Murray | 18.9% | 17.7% | 21.3% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 10.5% | 27.5% | 49.2% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 32.3% | 41.9% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 25.6% | 14.9% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.