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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University0.91+1.14vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.38+1.82vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.32-0.12vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-2.08+2.03vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18-1.88vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.95-0.14vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Villanova University0.910.4%1st Place
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3.82Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
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2.88Drexel University0.320.2%1st Place
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6.03Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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3.12Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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5.86University of Delaware-1.950.0%1st Place
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4.16SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Ward | 41.5% | 24.6% | 19.2% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Walters | 9.4% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 22.3% | 22.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% |
| Iain Shand | 20.9% | 23.1% | 22.5% | 18.6% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Ward | 0.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 28.8% | 48.4% |
| Aidan Young | 15.4% | 22.4% | 23.3% | 20.3% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Addie Perez | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 12.3% | 32.0% | 41.5% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 27.1% | 18.0% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.