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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.82vs Predicted
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2Villanova University-0.08+1.15vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.32-0.38vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.38-0.36vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-2.08+0.93vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.84vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.95-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Virginia Tech0.180.3%1st Place
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3.15Villanova University-0.080.2%1st Place
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2.62Drexel University0.320.3%1st Place
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3.64Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
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5.93Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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4.16SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Delaware-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 25.3% | 23.5% | 20.5% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Jack Murray | 19.0% | 18.9% | 20.8% | 19.5% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 1.1% |
| Iain Shand | 27.3% | 25.6% | 21.1% | 14.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Alex Walters | 14.1% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 21.2% | 20.6% | 10.9% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 27.2% | 47.8% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 23.6% | 16.7% | 7.7% |
| Addie Perez | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 12.7% | 30.3% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.