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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.83vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.38+1.61vs Predicted
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3Villanova University-0.08+0.17vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+0.13vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.32-2.33vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.08-0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.95-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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3.61Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
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3.17Villanova University-0.080.2%1st Place
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4.13SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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2.67Drexel University0.320.3%1st Place
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5.92Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Delaware-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 24.3% | 24.1% | 19.1% | 16.3% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Alex Walters | 13.2% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 19.8% | 19.7% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Jack Murray | 19.0% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 19.6% | 14.8% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 23.7% | 18.5% | 5.9% |
| Iain Shand | 28.7% | 22.3% | 20.8% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 27.7% | 47.2% |
| Addie Perez | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 29.9% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.