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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University0.91+1.15vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.18+1.03vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-2.19+2.96vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+0.32vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.32-2.07vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.08-0.08vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-0.38-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Villanova University0.910.4%1st Place
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3.03Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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5.96University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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4.32SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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2.93Drexel University0.320.2%1st Place
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5.92Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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3.7Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Ward | 41.0% | 26.4% | 16.9% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Young | 17.3% | 21.6% | 25.7% | 18.1% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Laura MacMillan | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 29.0% | 47.7% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 6.2% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 26.8% | 20.5% | 4.9% |
| Iain Shand | 18.9% | 23.7% | 22.5% | 20.1% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 12.6% | 32.4% | 42.5% |
| Alex Walters | 12.8% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 22.3% | 23.7% | 9.3% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.