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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University0.91+1.17vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+2.27vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-2.08+2.86vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.18-0.92vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.19+1.03vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.38-2.17vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.32-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Villanova University0.910.4%1st Place
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4.27SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.86Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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3.08Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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6.03University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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3.83Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
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2.76Drexel University0.320.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Ward | 39.2% | 27.7% | 16.7% | 11.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 28.9% | 18.1% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Ward | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 11.7% | 32.4% | 42.0% |
| Aidan Young | 17.0% | 21.0% | 22.7% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 28.7% | 48.5% |
| Alex Walters | 10.0% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 22.4% | 21.5% | 12.6% | 3.1% |
| Iain Shand | 22.9% | 24.5% | 23.0% | 17.3% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.