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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.32+1.83vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.91+0.12vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18+0.07vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-2.08+1.95vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-0.38-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.19+0.03vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Drexel University0.320.2%1st Place
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2.12Villanova University0.910.4%1st Place
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3.07Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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5.95Monmouth University-2.080.0%1st Place
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3.83Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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4.16SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 23.1% | 22.4% | 22.3% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Owen Ward | 39.3% | 29.4% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Young | 17.9% | 19.7% | 23.4% | 20.2% | 14.3% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 33.8% | 42.6% |
| Alex Walters | 8.8% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 23.6% | 20.8% | 12.4% | 2.8% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 10.6% | 29.5% | 48.4% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 28.3% | 16.4% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.