← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Villanova University0.91+1.10vs Predicted
-
2Drexel University0.32+0.74vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech0.18-0.08vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+0.08vs Predicted
-
5University of Delaware-2.19+0.51vs Predicted
-
6Catholic University of America-0.38-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.1Villanova University0.910.4%1st Place
-
2.74Drexel University0.320.2%1st Place
-
2.92Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
-
4.08SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
-
5.51University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
-
3.65Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Ward | 39.1% | 29.7% | 18.4% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Iain Shand | 23.0% | 24.4% | 21.5% | 19.4% | 9.7% | 2.0% |
| Aidan Young | 18.9% | 21.0% | 24.4% | 22.2% | 11.5% | 2.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 21.9% | 35.2% | 13.2% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 11.9% | 75.7% |
| Alex Walters | 10.9% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 23.6% | 27.6% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.