← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Villanova University0.91+1.08vs Predicted
-
2Drexel University0.32+0.72vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech0.18-0.13vs Predicted
-
4Catholic University of America-0.38-0.44vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-0.97vs Predicted
-
6University of Delaware-2.85-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.08Villanova University0.910.4%1st Place
-
2.72Drexel University0.320.2%1st Place
-
2.87Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
-
3.56Catholic University of America-0.380.1%1st Place
-
4.03SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
-
5.75University of Delaware-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Ward | 39.6% | 30.1% | 16.6% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Iain Shand | 22.9% | 24.1% | 23.8% | 17.7% | 10.6% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Young | 19.5% | 21.3% | 25.0% | 22.4% | 10.9% | 0.9% |
| Alex Walters | 11.1% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 23.9% | 29.1% | 3.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 6.4% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 23.0% | 38.2% | 8.7% |
| Alex Newkirk | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 8.0% | 86.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.