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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University-1.09+2.84vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.35+0.88vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.26-0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware0.06-1.63vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-3.44+1.51vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-1.51-1.50vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-2.14-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Villanova University-1.090.1%1st Place
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2.88Catholic University of America-0.350.2%1st Place
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2.75Virginia Tech-0.260.2%1st Place
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2.37University of Delaware0.060.3%1st Place
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6.51Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
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4.5SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.1%1st Place
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5.14Drexel University-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Cooner | 11.6% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 21.6% | 22.1% | 13.4% | 3.5% |
| Clare Wagner | 20.5% | 23.3% | 23.3% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Brock Diaz | 23.7% | 23.3% | 23.7% | 17.0% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Harrington | 33.5% | 25.9% | 19.4% | 13.4% | 6.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 12.7% | 75.3% |
| Adam Zeng | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 27.7% | 23.8% | 6.8% |
| Ben Muchin | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 19.6% | 41.2% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.