Race 1A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tyler Black 10.1% 9.9% 10.6% 11.6% 11.9% 12.8% 12.5% 13.2% 7.4%
Conor Lodge 18.1% 22.2% 15.8% 14.1% 10.8% 7.6% 6.9% 3.2% 1.3%
Neal Drake 7.2% 7.5% 9.6% 11.9% 9.6% 13.9% 13.8% 14.5% 12.0%
Nicholas Dragone 8.2% 8.5% 11.7% 9.5% 13.6% 13.7% 11.0% 12.6% 11.2%
David Pierce 13.9% 14.2% 14.0% 11.0% 12.8% 9.7% 9.9% 8.6% 5.9%
Andrea Verdeja 4.9% 5.2% 6.8% 7.1% 8.6% 10.9% 14.1% 19.0% 23.4%
John McGlynn 19.6% 17.5% 15.7% 15.6% 12.0% 8.6% 6.2% 3.9% 0.9%
Michael Reney 12.9% 10.7% 11.4% 12.2% 13.6% 12.3% 11.8% 8.6% 6.5%
Matthew Butcka 5.1% 4.3% 4.4% 7.0% 7.1% 10.5% 13.8% 16.4% 31.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.