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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Catholic University of America-0.35+1.90vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.26+0.81vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.51+1.52vs Predicted
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4Villanova University-1.09-0.06vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-3.44+1.54vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.88-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware0.06-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Catholic University of America-0.350.2%1st Place
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2.81Virginia Tech-0.260.2%1st Place
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4.52SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.1%1st Place
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3.94Villanova University-1.090.1%1st Place
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6.54Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
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4.99Drexel University-1.880.0%1st Place
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2.3University of Delaware0.060.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clare Wagner | 23.7% | 21.2% | 20.5% | 17.7% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Brock Diaz | 21.2% | 24.3% | 25.6% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Adam Zeng | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 27.2% | 24.5% | 7.0% |
| Joe Cooner | 8.8% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 20.6% | 22.7% | 17.3% | 1.8% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 12.2% | 76.3% |
| Lillian Cardonne | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 14.6% | 20.0% | 34.9% | 13.5% |
| Quinn Harrington | 35.0% | 26.4% | 19.9% | 12.4% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.