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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-1.51+2.51vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.35+0.14vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-2.14+1.35vs Predicted
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4Villanova University-1.80-0.05vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.26-2.92vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-3.44-0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-3.82-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.1%1st Place
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2.14Catholic University of America-0.350.4%1st Place
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4.35Drexel University-2.140.1%1st Place
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3.95Villanova University-1.800.1%1st Place
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2.08Virginia Tech-0.260.4%1st Place
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5.87Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
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6.11University of Delaware-3.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Zeng | 11.1% | 16.5% | 21.7% | 23.6% | 17.7% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Clare Wagner | 35.4% | 32.1% | 19.9% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Muchin | 6.5% | 5.9% | 13.4% | 23.0% | 28.0% | 17.8% | 5.4% |
| Julia Priebke | 6.9% | 10.7% | 18.5% | 24.2% | 25.8% | 11.8% | 2.1% |
| Brock Diaz | 37.4% | 31.5% | 20.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Abigail Eck | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 13.4% | 36.7% | 36.8% |
| William Manning | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 25.5% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.