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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Catholic University of America-0.35+1.33vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.26+0.20vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.51+0.77vs Predicted
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4Villanova University-1.80+0.18vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-2.14-0.34vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.57-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Catholic University of America-0.350.3%1st Place
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2.2Virginia Tech-0.260.4%1st Place
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3.77SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.1%1st Place
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4.18Villanova University-1.800.1%1st Place
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4.66Drexel University-2.140.0%1st Place
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3.86University of Delaware-1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clare Wagner | 31.0% | 30.4% | 21.4% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Brock Diaz | 38.1% | 27.1% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Adam Zeng | 10.6% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 20.3% | 23.5% | 14.6% |
| Julia Priebke | 6.7% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 20.8% | 24.3% | 24.1% |
| Ben Muchin | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 22.1% | 41.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 9.1% | 11.5% | 19.4% | 21.1% | 21.9% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.