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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.26+1.21vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.35+0.30vs Predicted
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3Villanova University-1.80+1.13vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-2.14+0.59vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.57-1.05vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-1.51-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Virginia Tech-0.260.3%1st Place
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2.3Catholic University of America-0.350.3%1st Place
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4.13Villanova University-1.800.1%1st Place
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4.59Drexel University-2.140.1%1st Place
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3.95University of Delaware-1.570.1%1st Place
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3.82SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Diaz | 34.3% | 31.3% | 20.0% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Clare Wagner | 34.9% | 26.7% | 19.9% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Julia Priebke | 7.9% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 20.1% | 24.5% | 23.3% |
| Ben Muchin | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 17.1% | 22.5% | 37.9% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 8.0% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 20.8% | 22.6% | 19.3% |
| Adam Zeng | 9.9% | 11.9% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 21.7% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.